Written by: Coreton | Posted here 09.02.04 |
We have all been in the dark as to what Urban and Roger Glenn are doing and I do not see that changing any time soon. In this post I am going to show a few things I think the increase in the AS may mean. I will also touch on a few other items I think we all need to think about. The first thing we will look at is an increase of 300 billion in the AS to dilute the current OS or float. This would be an option if Urban felt he needed the funds to make additional purchases like Claims/equipment/Race cars or just some walking around money for Urban and his buds. At the current PPS that would net about $90 million in cash. Now then how likely is this… not very in my book. Why you ask?? Lets look at it realistically. The new AS was raised on the 18th of August. since August 18th a little more than 30 billion shares have traded, at that rate it will be January of next year before every one of the shares was sold. That is also assuming that every single share that is traded during that time is sold out of the new AS. Something else to notice is that since last Monday when the new AS was made VERY public the trading has slowed to a point well below anything I have seen in the last 8 months. Today, September 1st, we traded a whole 1.2 billion. Now if I use an average for how long it will take to get those 300 billion out in the market we are looking at over a year, once again remember this is if every single share traded each and every day comes from the new AS only. The Second Reason I think the AS may have been raised is for another acquisition like the Nevada Minerals deal or possibly a share trade for Funding. Similar to the deal UCAD is working with the London group. This I feel has a better than good chance of being the reason for the increased AS. These would be restricted shares and thus not effect the Float untill a later date or can be repurchased by the company at an agreed upon price at a later date. This second option would never affect the float. The third reason that I can think of goes back to my 7/28 post. First I will say that at the time of that post I had taken the word of others that the maximum AS for a Nevada Co. was 500 Billion and therefore based my theories on that assumption. As we know now there is no limit on the AS of a Nevada Co. here is a scenario I would have included in that post had I known. If The MMs/Shorters are not willing to make a deal knowing that Urban held 300b more shares than his AS allowed. He could raise the AS, Making HIS 300billion shares real but the shares would still show on the MMs books as NSS. Still dilution?? Not at all. The shares he bought are already part of the OS and not dilution because they have been traded already. Urban could sell these shares back into the market and it would not effect the OS or Float because the MMs will have to cancel them as part of their shorted issue. This in turn means that Urban can remove the shares from the treasury at no harm to the shareholders or company. He could also sell the shares and reduce the AS and call it a retirement since the shares were originally NSS and the MMs will have to clear them from the books. In this scenario Urban raises cash and retires shares at the same time. If there is a Short Squeeze like I think is coming, Urban can hold till the last minute and sell for much more than the .0001 that he has paid for them. A fourth reason, one I find interesting, is that it may have been raised to allow for a forward split of CMKX. There are some good reasons for this but it would only benefit shareholders if CMKX were to issue a cash dividend, tender offer to go private, or a merger. Here are a few of things to think about.
Once again these are MY thought and Speculation based on what I know now. They are open to question and I will answer any honest questions as best I can. GLTA Coreton info posted by bchost.net
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